1H Continuation — NQ Futures Analysis

1H CONTINUATION

Opening Hour Bias Analysis · CME Globex 18:00 – 17:00 Eastern · n = 2,472 Sessions

The 1H Continuation concept examines whether the direction of a key opening hour on the NQ futures contract predicts the directional outcome of the broader session. Two signal hours are studied: the 6PM Hour (18:00–19:00 ET), which captures the initial Globex open reaction, and the 9AM Hour (09:00–10:00 ET), which captures the NY equity market open and the surrounding pre-market activity. For each signal, two outcome windows are measured — the Full Session (17:00 close vs 18:00 open) and the NY Equity Session (16:00 close vs 09:30 open). A continuation is recorded when the outcome window closes in the same direction as the signal hour. 1 tick = 0.25 points.

6PM Hour 19:00 close vs 18:00 open

9AM Hour 10:00 close vs 09:00 open

Full Session 17:00 close vs 18:00 open

NY Session 16:00 close vs 09:30 open

Signal Selection

Signal Hour

Direction

Continuation Win Rates

Full Session · Continuation Rate

—

of sessions continued direction

— W / — L

— Rev. — Cont.

Full Session · Sample Size

—

sessions in signal group

— of 2,472 total sessions

0 2,472 total

NY Equity Session · Continuation Rate

—

of NY sessions closed same direction

— W / — L

— Rev. — Cont.

NY Equity Session · Sample Size

—

sessions in signal group

— of 2,472 total sessions

0 2,472 total

Average Move · Continuation vs Reversal

Full Session

Average points move when continuing vs reversing · 17:00 close vs 18:00 open

Avg Cont.

—

Avg Rev.

—

NY Equity Session

Average points move when continuing vs reversing · 16:00 close vs 09:30 open

Avg Cont.

—

Avg Rev.

—

All Scenarios · Signal Hour × Outcome Window